Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.861788 4.458689 5.117440 5.898459 6.799405 7.806396 9.017849
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.952011 3.704201 4.605195 5.764360 7.217228 8.979647 11.282868
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.298514 3.100361 4.131619 5.556057 7.475074 9.974874 13.486187
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.938106 2.789020 3.955329 5.672282 8.140162 11.567228 16.703589
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.596156 2.435203 3.653314 5.552874 8.447991 12.707862 19.478914
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.444598 2.325126 3.672545 5.887693 9.450127 14.977599 24.250739
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.295335 2.190021 3.626990 6.107013 10.297659 17.125584 29.164907
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.136234 2.010500 3.478975 6.130080 10.819877 18.815176 33.579009
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.951506 1.756391 3.165775 5.819017 10.717058 19.426948 36.217200
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.881506 1.693619 3.172754 6.069937 11.638708 21.944802 42.639083
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.843956 1.684128 3.272507 6.502852 12.954400 25.355222 51.238631
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.775315 1.603589 3.225637 6.643857 13.722471 27.825137 58.359951
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.700076 1.501875 3.129556 6.686456 14.329874 30.125666 65.632636
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.608747 1.352736 2.916270 6.454660 14.334387 31.203685 70.520447
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.526729 1.210682 2.696599 6.174226 14.188498 31.937625 74.768612
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.485466 1.153103 2.651207 6.273910 14.905621 34.663994 83.986823
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.431457 1.057660 2.507077 6.123939 15.022428 36.048460 90.274879
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.416605 1.053284 2.572401 6.481713 16.406579 40.598894 105.018042
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.395021 1.028943 2.586511 6.715802 17.522226 44.667579 119.220150
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.363748 0.975131 2.520432 6.736535 18.098235 47.479285 130.619187
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.317889 0.876072 2.325788 6.391805 17.662164 47.632366 134.913048
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.305588 0.865531 2.359500 6.665804 18.940147 52.496107 153.045690
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.302235 0.879287 2.460043 7.140295 20.850674 59.363550 178.039988